Elon Musk just co-signed a viral claim that AGI lands in 2027, calling it "accurate" in a reply that racked up 1.8 million views in roughly 3 hours. The post argued Anthropic's Claude Opus 5.5 already feels close to AGI. Big talk aside, the people actually putting money on these outcomes aren't convinced timelines move that fast — hype and odds are telling two different stories here.